recession

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Economists Say Recession Risk Rising

Cumulative troubles mounting; most see a Dem in the White House

(Newser) - The odds of a recession hitting the US are rising as the cumulative effects of soaring energy costs, a flailing job market, and a dogged housing slump put the brakes on the economy, predicts a panel of economists in the Wall Street Journal today. Those economic woes, they say, are...

Goldman Predicts Recession
Goldman Predicts Recession
Jan 10, 2008 12:31 PM CST

Goldman Predicts Recession

Wall Street's top firm sees two unhappy quarters ahead

(Newser) - Goldman Sachs is predicting that the economy will slide into a recession this year—which has Wall Street worried, because Goldman’s been right about everything else. The investment firm forecasts a mild pullback extending over two quarters, driving up already-growing unemployment. “If we don't get job growth we...

US Slump, Oil Trouble Could Rock World: Report

Key factors threaten in coming months

(Newser) - The world economy may be in for some shocks this year because of a potential US recession, record-setting oil prices and food shortages, warns a report by the World Economic Forum. Worries about terrorism, disease, and natural disasters have taken a back seat to world business leaders' concerns about an...

Bush Cops to Economic Uncertainty
Bush Cops
to Economic Uncertainty
Jan 8, 2008 6:00 AM CST

Bush Cops to Economic Uncertainty

Without uttering the 'R word,' prez allows, 'Americans are anxious'

(Newser) - Rising oil prices, a crashing job market, and a tenacious mortgage crisis have created “economic challenges” for the US, President Bush said in Chicago yesterday, a shift from his insistence that the economy is fundamentally strong. While acknowledging “Americans are anxious about the economy,” Bush stopped short...

Bad Jobs Data Trigger Freefall
Bad Jobs Data Trigger Freefall
MARKETS
Jan 4, 2008 3:37 PM CST

Bad Jobs Data Trigger Freefall

Dow off 256.54, zooms past 13K on sluggish growth report

(Newser) - The worst employment-growth report since August 2003 sent the markets into a nosedive today, with the Dow ending the day off 256.54 to 12,800.18. Only 18,000 non-farm jobs were added in December, the Wall Street Journal reports, and the unemployment rate rose to 5.0%, its...

Consumers Open Wallets Wide
Consumers Open Wallets Wide
Dec 21, 2007 11:14 AM CST

Consumers Open Wallets Wide

Spending index records biggest increase since July 2005

(Newser) - Consumer spending grew 1.1% in November, its biggest rise since July 2005. The better-than-predicted figure accompanied a revised 0.4% October gain, adjusted from 0.2%. Taken together, the numbers “postpone fears of a recession at least until next year,” said one economist. Jobs numbers and salaries...

Greenspan: Odds Rising for Recession

Former Fed chief says US economy 'close to stall speed'

(Newser) - Alan Greenspan warned yesterday that sluggish economic growth is increasing the risk of recession. "It's too soon to say, but the odds are clearly rising," the former Fed chief told NPR. The subprime crisis and its resulting credit turmoil has growth "getting close to stall speed,"...

Nov. Retail Sales Up 1.2%; Sky May Not Be Falling

(Newser) - November’s retail sales confounded doomsayers, surging 1.2%, twice the 0.6% analysts predicted, Bloomberg reports. Many had worried that consumer spending would take a hit as gas rose and housing fell, but now it looks like job and income growth could cushion the fall. “The numbers should...

Morgan Stanley Warns of Recession
Morgan Stanley Warns of Recession
Dec 12, 2007 6:11 PM CST

Morgan Stanley Warns of Recession

Housing slump, cost of borrowing could lead to 'perfect storm' in US economy

(Newser) - Morgan Stanley is warning that the US is headed to a recession, the Telegraph writes, indicating today that factors such as the continued housing slump and high cost of borrowing will lead to decreased demand and a “perfect storm” for consumers. A partial freeze on subprime mortgages and expected...

Fed to Inject $64B Into Global Money Markets

Will lend $24B to European and other central banks, $40B in four auctions, to ease credit crisis

(Newser) - The Federal Reserve will inject some $64 billion into the global economy, fearing that the ongoing credit crunch could spark recession. In the most significant international economic cooperation since 9/11, the Fed will supply up to $24 billion to the ECB and other central banks to ease the money supply...

Economists See Rising Risk of Recession

Nearly all in survey say Fed must take strong action, cut rates

(Newser) - Economists are painting a bleak picture of the US economy next year, with the housing mess, reduced job growth, and rising unemployment putting the likelihood of recession at its highest level in three years, the Wall Street Journal reports. Nearly all the economists surveyed by the paper said the Fed...

Dems Pitch Own Mortgage Plans
Dems Pitch Own Mortgage Plans
Dec 6, 2007 2:56 AM CST

Dems Pitch Own Mortgage Plans

They say Bush's freeze falls short

(Newser) - Democratic candidates are criticizing President Bush's plan to bail out homeowners in the subprime mess for not going far enough and have outlined their own, more ambitious, proposals, the New York Times reports. "It appears that the president is pushing a freeze for a very narrow group of borrowers,...

In '08, It's Really the Economy, Stupid

Worried over job, credit, health woes, voters put Iraq on back burner

(Newser) - With gas prices stratospheric, the housing market tanking, and recession looking likely, voters aren't too worried about Iraq, reports the Wall Street Journal. Job concerns have transformed illegal immigration and health care into major issues. “You have to have a health plan even in the Republican primary,” says...

The 'R-Word' Surfaces on Wall Street
The 'R-Word' Surfaces on Wall Street
Nov 27, 2007 12:38 PM CST

The 'R-Word' Surfaces on Wall Street

'Odds of a recession are pretty damn high,' says analyst

(Newser) - Wall Street has the recession jitters: Markets are down 10% since October, the S&P 500 is down as analysts predict depressed earnings, and T-bills are down on anticipated Fed rate cuts. But there’s a flip side: Holiday sales gained 8.3% over 2006, unemployment is at 4.7%,...

Goldman Sees $2T Credit Shortfall, Major Slowdown

Nobel winner, investment firm warn of growing risk

(Newser) - The subprime mortgage crisis that has cost financial companies $400 billion and triggered what one banker is calling the worst housing market since the Great Depression will force a $2 trillion credit squeeze that could set off a “substantial recession” in the US, reports Bloomberg. Goldman Sachs said the...

Bernanke Sees Q4 Slowdown
Bernanke Sees Q4 Slowdown
Nov 8, 2007 9:58 AM CST

Bernanke Sees Q4 Slowdown

Fed chief sees economy as 'resilient' but growth slow through this quarter

(Newser) - Economic growth will slow "noticeably" through the end of the year and into 2008, Fed chief Ben Bernanke said in prepared testimony for a congressional panel today. Bernanke called the economy "resilient," but said the housing slump will intensify before it's over, the Wall Street Journal reports....

Calif. Budget Falls Prey to Housing Crisis

Governator orders across-the-board cuts as deficit nears $10B

(Newser) - With the housing crisis laying waste to California’s coffers, Arnold Schwarzenegger yesterday ordered all state agencies to cut budgets by 10%, the LA Times reports. “We are among a handful of states that has a lot of exposure to the housing crash,” said an economist. Property, sales,...

CA Fires Won't Harm Economy in Long Term

Rebuilding will give a boost to sagging home building sector

(Newser) - California’s runaway wildfires are not likely to do longterm damage to the state’s economy, the Los Angeles Times reports—in fact the disaster could be a boon to some sectors. One of those is construction: In the first nine months of the year, construction jobs were down 3%...

More People Skipping Basics to Pay the Bills

Analysts shocked as food banks run short, stores adjust prices

(Newser) - More Americans are skipping breakfast and other basics just to pay the bills, the AP reports. With gas hitting highs this year and food prices up as much as 44%, even $35,000-plus wage earners are lining up for food, and food banks report acute shortages. One consultant says he...

Housing Still a Drag: Fed Chief
Housing Still a Drag: Fed Chief
Oct 16, 2007 5:38 AM CDT

Housing Still a Drag: Fed Chief

Setbacks likely, says Bernanke, who offers no hints on interest rate status

(Newser) - The real estate slump will continue to be a "significant drag" on US economic growth well into next year, said Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke in his first speech on the economy since August. Recovery from the credit crisis will take time, and setbacks are likely, Bernanke told the...

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