Politics | Blanche Lincoln Most Red State Dems Can Vote for Health Care Only Blanche Lincoln faces 2010 fight, and she'll be a tough sell By Kevin Spak Posted Nov 20, 2009 9:27 AM CST Copied Sen. Blanche Lincoln, D-Ark., waits in her seat following a short break during a Senate Finance Committee hearing on health care reform legislation on Capitol Hill, Oct. 1, 2009. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais) The main reason Senate Democrats have a prayer of passing health care reform is that not many of them are up for reelection next year, says Nate Silver. Only a third of the Senate is up for re-election in 2010, and most of the Democrats in that group come from liberal states. Only two Democrats up for reelection come from McCain states: Blanche Lincoln and Byron Dorgan. Dorgan won’t be a problem, Silver writes on FiveThirtyEight. He’s popular, and “something of a policy wonk,” with possible designs on party leadership positions. Lincoln, on the other hand, hails from a state where reform is unpopular, so she’ll probably be the toughest vote to get. Fellow red-staters Ben Nelson and Mary Landrieu are also wavering, but Nelson doesn’t face reelection until 2012, and Landrieu not until 2014—a political eternity. Read These Next Supreme Court gives Trump big win on national injunctions. Actor Sam Rockwell gets residuals from movie he wasn't in. New York Times ranks the best movies of the 21st century. White House rolls with Trump's 'daddy' nickname. Report an error