Politics | New Jersey 5 Things to Watch in NJ Turnout is pivotal in race between Corzine, Christie By John Johnson Posted Nov 3, 2009 1:23 PM CST Copied New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine emerges from the booth after voting at the Elks Club in Hoboken, N.J., Tuesday. (AP Photo/Rich Schultz) It remains a tight race for governor in New Jersey between Democrat Jon Corzine and Republican Chris Christie. Jonathan Martin of Politico offers five things to watch: Turnout: If it's below 48% or so, that means trouble for Corzine. It's a sign he hasn't mobilized the Democratic base, particularly minorities, to vote. Corzine's key areas: He needs a combined margin of victory of 100,000 votes in the Camden, Newark, and Jersey City regions. Christie's key areas: He needs to take 60% in his native Morris County, along with Ocean and Monmouth counties. Chris Daggett: If the independent candidate, a former Republican, can get 10%, it's good news for Corzine. Bergen and Middelex: These are bellwether counties. If Christie does well, it's a sign that voters aren't happy with Corzine's tenure. Read These Next New Fox star, 23, misses first day after car troubles. White House rolls with Trump's 'daddy' nickname. Supreme Court ruling is a big blow to Planned Parenthood. Man accused of killing his daughters might be dead. Report an error